Publications

2022

Beyond Playing 20 Questions with Nature: Integrative Experiment Design in the Social and Behavioral Sciences Journal Article Forthcoming

Abdullah; Griffiths Almaatouq, Thomas L. ; Suchow

In: Behavioral and Brain Sciences, Forthcoming.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

2021

Reducing opinion polarization: Effects of exposure to similar people with differing political views Journal Article

Balietti, Stefano; Getoor, Lise; Goldstein, Daniel G.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118, no. 52, 2021.

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Success stories cause false beliefs about success Journal Article

Lifchits, George; Anderson, Ashton; Goldstein, Daniel G.; Hofman, Jake M.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 16, no. 6, pp. 1439-1463, 2021, ISSN: 1930-2975.

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Task complexity moderates group synergy Journal Article

Almaatouq, Abdullah; Alsobay, Mohammed; Yin, Ming; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118, no. 36, 2021.

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Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively Collected Behavioral Data Journal Article

Konitzer, Tobias; Allen, Jennifer; Eckman, Stephanie; Howland, Baird; Mobius, Markus; Rothschild, David; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Public Opinion Quarterly, 2021.

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Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube Journal Article

Hosseinmardi, Homa; Ghasemian, Amir; Clauset, Aaron; Mobius, Markus; Rothschild, David M.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118, no. 32, 2021.

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Research note: Examining potential bias in large-scale censored data Journal Article

Allen, Jennifer; Mobius, Markus; Rothschild, David M.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) Misinformation Review, 2021.

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Integrating explanation and prediction in computational social science Journal Article

Hofman, Jake M.; Watts, Duncan J.; Athey, Susan; Garip, Filiz; Griffiths, Thomas L.; Kleinberg, Jon; Margetts, Helen; Mullainathan, Sendhil; Salganik, Matthew J.; Vazire, Simine; Vespignani, Alessandro; Yarkoni, Tal

In: Nature, vol. 595, pp. 181-188, 2021.

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Scaling up experimental social, behavioral, and economic science Technical Report

Almaatouq, Abdullah; Becker, Joshua; Bernstein, Michael S.; Botto, Robert; Bradlow, Eric T.; Damer, Ekaterina; Duckworth, Angela; Griffiths, Tom; Hartshorne, Joshua K.; Lazer, David; Law, Edith; Liu, Min; Matias, J. Nathan; Rand, David; Salganik, Matthew; Emma Satlof-Bedrick, Maurice Schweitzer; Shirado, Hirokazu; Suchow, Jordan W.; Suri, Siddharth; Tsvetkova, Milena; Watts, Duncan J.; Whiting, Mark E.; Yin., Ming

2021.

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AutoEKF: Scalable System Identification for COVID-19 Forecasting from Large-Scale GPS Data Journal Article

Barreras, Francisco; Hayhoe, Mikhail; Hassani, Hamed; Preciado, Victor M.

In: arXiv Preprint, pp. 6, 2021.

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Can Online Juries Make Consistent, Repeatable Decisions? Journal Article

Hu, Xinlan Emily; Whiting, Mark; Bernstein, Michael

In: Proceedings of the 2021 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, pp. 1-16, 2021.

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Peer assessment in MOOCs: Systematic literature review Journal Article

Gamage, Dilrukshi; Staubitz, Thomas; Whiting, Mark

In: Distance Education, pp. 1-22, 2021.

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A Large-Scale Comparative Study of Informal Social Networks in Firms Journal Article

Jacobs, Abigail Z.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Management Science, pp. 1-21, 2021.

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My Team Will Go On: Differentiating High and Low Viability Teams through Team Interaction Journal Article

Cao, Hancheng; Yang, Vivian; Chen, Victor; Lee, Yu Jin; Stone, Lydia; Diarrassouba, N'godjigui Junior; Whiting, Mark; Bernstein, Michael

In: Proceedings of the ACM Human-Computer Interaction, vol. 4, no. CSCW3, pp. 1-27, 2021.

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Empirica: a virtual lab for high-throughput macro-level experiments Journal Article

Almaatouq, Abdullah; Becker, Joshua; Houghton, James P; Paton, Nicolas; Watts, Duncan J; Whiting, Mark E

In: Behavior Research Methods, pp. 1–14, 2021.

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Measuring the news and its impact on democracy Journal Article

Watts, Duncan J; Rothschild, David M; Mobius, Markus

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118, no. 15, 2021.

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2020

Stacking models for nearly optimal link prediction in complex networks Journal Article

Ghasemian, Amir; Hosseinmardi, Homa; Galstyan, Aram; Airoldi, Edoardo; Clauset, Aaron

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117, no. 38, pp. 23393-23400, 2020.

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Computational social science: Obstacles and opportunities Journal Article

Lazer, David M. J.; Pentland, Alex; Watts, Duncan J.; Aral, Sinan; Athey, Susan; Contractor, Noshir; Freelon, Deen; Gonzalez-Bailon, Sandra; King, Gary; Margetts, Helen; Nelson, Alondra; Salganik, Matthew J.; Strohmaier, Markus; Vespignani, Alessandro; Wagner, Claudia

In: Science, vol. 369, no. 6507, pp. 1060-1062, 2020.

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Can We Just Start Over Again? Resetting Remote Team Dynamics Journal Article

Whiting, Mark; Bernstein, Michael

In: 2020.

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Parallel Worlds: Repeated Initializations of the Same Team To Improve Team Viability Journal Article

Whiting, Mark; Gao, Irena; Xing, Michelle; N’godjigui, Junior Diarrassouba; Nguyen, Tonya; Bernstein, Michael

In: Proceedings of the ACM Human-Computer Interaction, vol. 4, no. CSCW1, pp. 22, 2020.

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Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem Journal Article

Allen, Jennifer; Howland, Baird; Mobius, Markus; Rothschild, David; Watts, Duncan J

In: Science Advances, vol. 6, no. 14, pp. eaay3539, 2020.

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2019

Did It Have To End This Way? Understanding the Consistency of Team Fracture Journal Article

Whiting, Mark; Blaising, Allie; Barreau, Chloe; Fiuza, Laura; Marda, Nik; Valentine, Melissa; Bernstein, Michael

In: Proceedings of the ACM Human-Computer Interaction, vol. 3, no. 209, pp. 23, 2019.

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Fair work: Crowd work minimum wage with one line of code Journal Article

Whiting, Mark; Hugh, Grant; Bernstein, Michael

In: Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Human Computation and Crowdsourcing, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 197-206, 2019.

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Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration Journal Article

Salganik, Matthew J.

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Latest Articles, pp. 1-6, 2019.

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Predicting history Journal Article

Risi, Joseph; Sharma, Amit; Shah, Rohan; Connelly, Matthew; Watts, Duncan J.

In: Nature Human Behavior, vol. 3, pp. 906–912, 2019.

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Discovering hidden structure in high dimensional human behavioral data via tensor factorization Journal Article

Hosseinmardi, Homa; Kao, Hsien-Te; Lerman, Kristina; Ferrara, Emilio

In: pp. 5, 2019.

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Understanding Cyberbullying on Instagram and Ask.fm via Social Role Detection Journal Article

Kao, Hsien-Te; Yan, Shen; Huang, Di; Bartley, Nathan; Hosseinmardi, Homa; Ferrara, Emilio

In: Companion Proceedings of The 2019 World Wide Web Conference, pp. 183-188, 2019.

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Evaluating overfit and underfit in models of network community structure Journal Article

Ghasemian, Amir; Hosseinmardi, Homa; Clauset, Aaron

In: IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, vol. 32, no. 9, pp. 1722-1735, 2019.

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Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments Journal Article

Meyer, Michelle N; Heck, Patrick R; Holtzman, Geoffrey S; Anderson, Stephen M; Cai, William; Watts, Duncan J; Chabris, Christopher F

In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 116, no. 22, pp. 10723–10728, 2019.

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2018

Split-Door Criterion: Identification of Causal Effects Through Auxiliary Outcomes Journal Article

Sharma, Amit; Hofman, Jake M.; Watts, Duncan J.

In: The Annals of Applied Statistics, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 2699-2733, 2018.

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The science of fake news Journal Article

Lazer, David M. J.; Baum, Matthew A.; Benkler, Yochai; Berinsky, Adam J.; Greenhill, Kelly M.; Menczer, Filippo; Metzger, Miriam J.; Nyhan, Brendan; Pennycook, Gordon; Rothschild, David; Schudson, Michael; Sloman, Steven A.; Sunstein, Cass R.; Thorson, Emily A.; Watts, Duncan J.; Zittrain, Jonathan L.

In: Science, vol. 359, no. 6380, pp. 1094-1096, 2018.

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Redefine statistical significance Journal Article

Benjamin, Daniel J.

In: Nature Human Behavior, vol. 2, pp. 6-10, 2018.

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2017

Beyond Keywords: Tracking the evolution of conversational clusters in social media Journal Article

Houghton, James P.; Siegel, Michael; Madnick, Stuart; Tounaka, Nobuaki; Nakamura, Kazutaka; Sugiyama, Takaaki; Nakagawa, Daisuke; Shirnen, Buyanjargal

In: Sociological Methods & Research, vol. 48, no. 3, pp. 588-607, 2017.

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Fostering reproducibility in industry-academia research Journal Article

Jasny, B. R.; Wigginton, N.; McNutt, M.; Bubela, T.; Buck, S.; Cook-Deegan, R.; Gardner, T.; Hanson, B.; Hustad, C.; Kiermer, V.; Lazer, D.; Lupia, A.; Manrai, A.; McConnell, L.; Noonan, K.; Phimister, E.; Simon, B.; Strandburg, K.; Summers, Z.; Watts, D.

In: Science, vol. 357, no. 6353, pp. 759-761, 2017.

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Prediction and explanation in social systems Journal Article

Hofman, Jake M; Sharma, Amit; Watts, Duncan J

In: Science, vol. 355, no. 6324, pp. 486–488, 2017.

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Should social science be more solution-oriented? Journal Article

Watts, Duncan J

In: Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 1–5, 2017.

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2014

Common Sense and Sociological Explanations Journal Article

Watts, Duncan

In: American Journal of Sociology, vol. 120, no. 2, pp. 313-351, 2014.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

2011

Everything Is Obvious Book

Watts, Duncan J.

Crown, 2011, ISBN: 9780385531696, 0385531699.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX